August 19, 2012
Silver Market Manipulation FAQs
September 26, 2011
SELL ALL YOUR GOLD INVESTMENTS NOW AND BUY PHYSICAL SILVER!
March 5, 2011
Jason Hommel: silver going to US$500/oz
For more from Jason Hommel on silver you can visit his web site "Silver Stock report" and subscribe to the newsletter.
August 21, 2008
Jason Hommel: Silver has Run Out, Now!
Silver has Run Out, Now!
(Just try to find some!)
Silver Stock Report
by Jason Hommel, August 20th, 2008
For a long time, people have been asking me, "When will silver run out?". They know that the world uses up more silver each year (about 850 million ounces) than the world mines (about 600 million ounces), and that existing demand can only be met by selling existing inventory (such as recycling 200 million ounces, or goverments selling 50 million ounces), so it's a natural question to ask. The question is not implying that mankind will be unable to mine any more. Rumor is that there remains at least about 14-16 years of silver in the ground at "current" prices; while at much higher prices, silver mining becomes more economic, and more deposits can be added to that "in ground" reserve number.
So, the question is really just asking, "When will we run out of "excess" above ground silver that can meet the supply/demand gap, so that the price will begin to really take off upwards?" Clearly, the world has silver in supplies above ground, and such silver supplies are dwindling in order to meet the supply/demand gap. About two years ago, the world started adding to above ground silver supplies as silver investors started buying, (and the silver surveys label investor buying as a "surplus". However, silver recycling was still greater than new stockpiling, which continued to deplete overall silver supplies.
Such a question as "When will silver run out?" cannot really be answered in advance, since nobody really knows how much silver there is, and who owns it, and at what price they are willing to sell it. Again, that brings us back to the nature of silver; it's inherantly private wealth, held anonymously. Estimates on "above ground" silver, in refined, deliverable form have ranged from 300 million ounces to 1 billion ounces, to about a high of 4 billion ounces if you include jewelry and flatware, up to 20 billion ounces if you include all forms of silver that have not ended up in landfills, out of the total of 43 billion ounces of silver estimated to have been mined in all of human history. Furthermore, nobody is arguing that the last bit of silver that exists needs to be consumed before the price rises substantially. The question is really about when will all the unwanted silver, in so-called "weak" hands of holders who don't really want it, be sold, to allow the price to rise to meet the majority of the expectations of the remaining wise investors who have planned in advance to actually store up some of the rare stuff.
But finally, I think the answer has arrived. The answer is "NOW!" Silver has run out, now! Or, in other words, most of the cheap silver has run out.
There are two excellent articles on the shortage of Silver that I'd like to bring to your attention if you have not already seen them:
This one is by "seekingalpha", and is very excellent, and very comprehensive.
The Disconnect Between Supply and Demand in Gold & Silver Markets
(August 18th)
http://seekingalpha.com/article/91357-the-disconnect-between-supply-and-demand-in-gold-silver-markets
The article goes over how the silver shortage is also affecting India.
He also covers the paper silver fraud that is commonplace and "standard business practice" in Wall Street brokerage houses.
This next article is short and powerful, and written by a coin dealer:
The Disconnect Between The Physical Gold and 'Paper Contract' Markets
(August 19th)
http://www.numismaster.com/ta/numis/Article.jsp?ad=article&ArticleId=5093
What's amazing is that last year, net physical silver investment demand was estimated to be about 30-60 million ounces, or about $1 billion worth.
Today, with 90% of the people in the U.S. being concerned about inflation, and a growing awareness of the danger of banks going bankrupt, there ought to be about 90% of the $14,000 billion of money in the banks that should be seeking to buy either some silver, or gold.
So, where do you think silver prices are headed? How can most of $14,000 billion enter a market of $1 billion that is already suffering a shortage, and prices not go up, a lot?
And oh yes, what about that current low price?
There's a short story that goes something like this. A lady wants to buy sausage. There are two butcher shops next to each other, one advertises $1.99/lb., the other advertises $2.99/lb. She goes to the $1.99/lb. shop first. But there's no sausage, they are out. So, she goes across the street, and sees sausage for $2.99/lb., and promptely complains about the price. "Why don't you sell it for $1.99/lb like the other guy?" Butcher answers, "Lady, when I'm out, mine is $1.99/lb, too!"
Price means nothing if you can't get the product. Many people are still sending money to dealers who will take your money, but have no silver, and no idea when they can get it.
Be very, very careful about ordering silver right now. Demand to know exactly when they can deliver. If they can't guarantee delivery within a week or your full money back, then consider that they probably don't have it!
Here's what I suggest. FIND YOUR LOCAL COIN SHOP and go there, in person. Or visit the dealers who are recommended at:
www.find-your-local-coin-shop.com
In fact, now might be a good time to meet up other Silver Stock Report readers.
I suggest that everyone visit their favorite local coin shop on September 1, at 1PM. That's a Monday.
Sincerely,
July 30, 2008
Mineweb: While silver ETFs outperform relative to gold, miners continue to suffer
Silver ETFs have decoupled from the depressing price movements of increasingly hammered listed silver stocks.
Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted: Tuesday , 29 Jul 2008
JOHANNESBURG -
Amid the hammering of listed resources stocks over the past two months, and the more recent heavy sell off of commodities, silver exchange traded funds (ETFs), represented mainly by the US-listed iShares Silver Trust, stand out as one of the most resistant commodity-linked securities. An investment in the iShares Silver Trust, which currently holds USD 3.4bn in silver bullion, is an easily accessible proxy investment in silver bullion.
Where an investment in silver ETFs would have returned 33% over the past 12 months, a weighted investment in 43 listed silver stocks is now returning a highly dramatic negative -33% over the same period. Gold ETFs, represented mainly by the US-listed SPRD Gold Trust, have also performed well, with a return of 28%, ranking just behind silver ETFs.
Listed gold stocks, however, have far outperformed listed silver stocks, returning a composite 5% over the past 12 months. The disparities in the returns from listed stocks may at least be partially explained by the declines in spot prices: at USD 919 an ounce, gold bullion is currently 11% off its highs, while at USD 17.23 an ounce, silver bullion has fallen by 19%.
Both gold and silver bullion are favoured by certain specialist investors as high beta investments during times of crisis or trouble. The two metals traded at record highs during March this year, when Wall Street's Bear Stearns crisis peaked. While both gold and silver are ranked as precious metals, along with the platinum family, gold has a demonstrable monetary role, something arguably absent from the rest of the precious metals peer group.
Primary silver producers are far less easy to find than primary gold producers. The silver sub-sector is led by Fresnillo, Pan American Silver, Polymetal, Hochschild, Coeur d'Alene and Hecla, and the fast-rising Silver Wheaton. Most of the world's silver is produced as byproduct, typically by the larger mining names...
...to read the remaining article, please click HERE
July 13, 2008
Silver FAQs galore!
- What's so special about silver, anyway?
- Why will silver go up in price?
- Where can I buy silver?
- What is a good price for silver, how much should I pay?
- What kind of silver should I buy?
- How much money do I need to buy silver?
- How do you know that the silver you buy is real?
- What about confiscation?....
You can find the answers to these and many more frequently asked questions (one of the most complete lists on the web!) about Silver investing at Jason Hommell's Silver Stock Report by clicking HERE
